Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 10.605492 12.237189 13.982958 15.983714 18.207077 20.595801 23.349896
2025-06-08 8.306569 10.391480 12.762343 15.637634 19.008968 22.815001 27.413963
2025-06-15 6.972596 9.339442 12.170952 15.766026 20.163984 25.322702 31.781358
2025-06-22 5.883302 8.388213 11.525118 15.672260 20.934854 27.311234 35.534027
2025-06-29 5.148259 7.765006 11.178024 15.852128 21.972454 29.593589 39.666185
2025-07-06 4.559902 7.248546 10.889504 16.037744 22.970308 31.813038 43.752731
2025-07-13 4.167186 6.946795 10.839611 16.501213 24.312764 34.484529 48.470426
2025-07-20 3.786840 6.612017 10.699009 16.804266 25.422393 36.861551 52.855000
2025-07-27 3.373613 6.176024 10.365213 16.792405 26.071191 38.619465 56.449073
2025-08-03 2.858129 5.516777 9.637843 16.147077 25.774270 39.055129 58.249760
2025-08-10 2.508656 5.084379 9.211100 15.901712 26.011603 40.203820 61.021889
2025-08-17 2.184451 4.654408 8.746561 15.556567 26.067118 41.075811 63.410601
2025-08-24 1.926442 4.312507 8.397197 15.367772 26.345210 42.275005 66.301967
2025-08-31 1.666697 3.933242 7.949802 14.985854 26.298773 42.987263 68.504329
2025-09-07 1.517262 3.745489 7.811016 15.089730 26.994625 44.793622 72.311684
2025-09-14 1.353973 3.508309 7.562984 14.990503 27.356971 46.104183 75.419692
2025-09-21 1.245472 3.369934 7.479685 15.160304 28.146723 48.069694 79.527920
2025-09-28 1.148477 3.243286 7.406006 15.337768 28.948536 50.067782 83.723562
2025-10-05 1.092220 3.199867 7.484972 15.784305 30.202968 52.787988 89.055114
2025-10-12 1.022788 3.117062 7.479897 16.076482 31.206120 55.138873 93.875223
2025-10-19 0.927704 2.960159 7.314653 16.064895 31.692133 56.686803 97.501604
2025-10-26 0.784720 2.662316 6.836647 15.442050 31.103642 56.510396 98.468451
2025-11-02 0.692249 2.477409 6.574381 15.205277 31.164184 57.360299 101.027758